Stony Brook
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
341  Annika Sisson SR 20:35
570  Alexandria Ortega SO 20:57
583  Tiana Guevara SR 20:58
878  Talia Guevara SR 21:20
1,440  Holly Manning SO 21:57
1,725  Clodagh O'Reilly SO 22:14
2,398  Melissa Riback JR 23:06
2,549  Ciara Murphy SO 23:21
2,748  Molly Dearie SO 23:45
3,019  Cassandra Leonard SR 24:40
National Rank #122 of 348
Northeast Region Rank #14 of 44
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.0%
Most Likely Finish 13th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.0%
Top 10 in Regional 10.6%
Top 20 in Regional 96.5%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Annika Sisson Alexandria Ortega Tiana Guevara Talia Guevara Holly Manning Clodagh O'Reilly Melissa Riback Ciara Murphy Molly Dearie Cassandra Leonard
Stony Brook Wolfie Invitational 09/09 1258 21:33 21:14 22:47 22:04 23:56 23:18 24:19
Paul Short Gold 09/29 1063 20:38 20:37 21:02 22:09 22:25 23:56 24:31
Princeton Invitational 10/14 1047 20:41 20:36 20:35 22:37 23:29 24:59
America East Championship 10/28 1016 20:37 20:42 20:43 21:32 21:43 22:28 22:50 23:07 23:45 25:14
Northeast Region Championships 11/10 1106 20:31 21:52 21:01 21:31 21:52 22:59





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.0%
Region Championship 100% 14.4 430 0.1 0.1 1.1 3.4 6.1 7.0 10.5 12.8 12.1 12.5 9.9 8.1 6.1 4.5 2.7 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annika Sisson 0.2% 165.0
Alexandria Ortega 0.0% 165.5
Tiana Guevara 0.0% 207.5


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annika Sisson 34.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.6 1.2 1.8 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.1 2.3
Alexandria Ortega 61.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4
Tiana Guevara 62.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2
Talia Guevara 101.2
Holly Manning 167.4
Clodagh O'Reilly 192.6
Melissa Riback 239.7




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 4
5 5
6 0.1% 0.1 6
7 0.1% 0.1 7
8 1.1% 1.1 8
9 3.4% 3.4 9
10 6.1% 6.1 10
11 7.0% 7.0 11
12 10.5% 10.5 12
13 12.8% 12.8 13
14 12.1% 12.1 14
15 12.5% 12.5 15
16 9.9% 9.9 16
17 8.1% 8.1 17
18 6.1% 6.1 18
19 4.5% 4.5 19
20 2.7% 2.7 20
21 1.7% 1.7 21
22 1.0% 1.0 22
23 0.4% 0.4 23
24 0.2% 0.2 24
25 0.2% 0.2 25
26 0.1% 0.1 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
Total 100% 0.0% 100.0 0.0 0.0




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 0.0